Covid-19 Overview Luxembourg (residents only)

Notice

Starting November 19 everything below is based on data from residents only. No data including non-residents has been available since November 5.

See here for the previous version including non-residents.

Daily situation and changes since the previous update

5.29%
37017+588
345+6
1418680+11396
203-8
41=
8643-91

Weekly indicators

5.46% d
576.1 b, d
15.1 c, d

Numbers shown above are the latest available figures, these generally apply to the previous day (e.g. figures reported on Monday afternoon reference Sunday).

The change represents the difference from what was reported the day before (e.g. the increase in tests shown above is not necessarily the number of tests conducted on that day, but might include increases to the number of tests for multiple days).

The date shown is when this data was last updated.

The graphs below use revised data and reflect what happened on / has been referenced to that day and not necessarily what was reported on that date.

Download the data

Daily Diagnosed Cases and Deaths

daily new diagnosed cases

Daily new diagnosed cases. The smoothed curve should not be interpreted as a curve of "true" new cases nor should it be used as a prediction at the end of the time series.

(The smoothing model assumes the data follows a Negative Binomial distribution and fits a cubic B-Spline to the mean parameter with knots every Wednesday and adjustment for under/over-reporting on weekends and weekdays respectively. The area under the curve is maintained close to total cases. 90% centred interval of the mean shown.)

daily new cases during the last nine weeks

Daily new diagnosed cases during the last 9 weeks.

daily new deaths

Daily new deaths. Earliest death was reported on March 13.

daily new deaths during the last nine weeks

Daily new deaths during the last 9 weeks.

Reproduction Number

effective reproduction number

Effective reproduction number from infered infections. Median and 95% centred credible interval shows.

effective reproduction number last 3 months

Effective reproduction number from infered infections last 3 months.

Testing

daily tests

Daily number of tests performed. It is unclear if these are referenced to the date the samples were taken, analysed or reported. On March 26 about 5500 tests were added, these are likely from earlier days.

daily percentage of positive tests

Using daily new diagnosed cases and tests conducted a ratio of positive tests can be approximated. Not all diagnosed cases necessarily come from positive tests, the number of tests conducted and cases don't necessarily refer to the same day. Only days with more than 25 tests are shown.

New Cases and Tests by Category

Since the MoH publishes additional data on positive and total tests broken down by how/where the person was tested. Data on cases and tests from the LST scheme is available from to , but it is unclear how reliable these figures are.

Tests are categorized into four groups: on perscription by a doctor ("Diagnostic"), as part of contact tracing from previously detected cases ("Tracing"), as part of the Large Scale Testing scheme including entry/exit tests ("LST") and via a free voluntary test at the airport ("Airport"). "Unknown" includes tests from dates where no breakdown is available, or if the number of total tests is greater than the sum of all categories (for example if the number of tests is corrected upwards on a later date).

New cases by category

New cases by category, starting from .

Proportions of new cases by category

Proportions of new cases by category, starting from .

New tests by category

New tests by category, starting from .

Proportions of new tests by category

Proportions of new tests by category, starting from .

Active Diagnosed Cases

current active cases

Active diagnosed cases.

daily change of active cases

Daily change in active diagnosed cases.

daily change of active cases during the last nine weeks

Daily change in active diagnosed cases during the last 9 weeks.

Age Distribution of Active Cases

A breakdown of active cases per 5-year group is only available since mid May, and allows for a view on what age group is currently the impacted the most.

It's important to remember that age is not distributed evenly in the whole population (cf. Figure 16). Some groups also have more contacts on average and thus more opportunities to get infected.

Data on ages of all tested persons is not available, nor is there any information on the distribution of diagnosed cases by day.

Proportion of active cases by 10-year age group. Black line marks date where the underlying population supposedly changed, given the data it is questionable whether the population was changed on this specific date.

Estimated absolute number of active cases by 10-year age group. (due to rounding errors, lags etc. active cases and the proportions reported do not necessarily create integer number of cases in the groups)

Age distribution of currently active cases compared to the whole population (as of April 2020).

Hospitalisations

Similar to testing, data on hospitalisations was only sparse before April 3. On March 27 the capacity of hospitals in Luxembourg was 2354 beds with an additional 230 available if needed, 119 beds for intensive care patients with 80 further beds available if needed. The number of hospitalised patients for reasons other than COVID-19 is unknown.

Current number of patients in hospital and in intensive care respectively. This includes patients transferred to outside Luxembourg to alleviate hospitals in the originating regions.

The revised figures used here for both categories of patients are questionably low before March 22 and do not agree with numbers reported at the time.

Proportion of total new cases/tests by residency

evolution of the proportion of cases and tests by residency

Proportion of daily new cases / tests by residency. 15 Day centred moving average.

Cases on log and linear scale

evolution of confirmed cases, deaths, recovered and hospital patients on a log scale
evolution of confirmed cases, deaths, recovered and hospital patients on a linear scale

Footnotes

[a] The data wasn't/isn't reported daily, showing an increase would be misleading.

[b] Includes cases from residents only. Based on 626108 residents.

[c] Includes tests from residents only. Based on 626108 residents.

[d] Corrections to daily new cases and tests have generally been negligible. If this changes it could bias the indicator downwards and the window used to calculate will need be shifted backwards by a few days.